Peru's table grape harvest is forecast to reach 725,000 tons in the 2026/27 marketing year, down 14 per cent from the previous season, according to a USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) report published on 6 November 2026. Exports are projected at 650,000 tons, a decline of 13 per cent, following record shipments in 2025/26.
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The lower harvest forecast is primarily attributed to El Niño-related conditions in northern Peru, particularly Piura, which accounts for 33 per cent of the country's export-oriented grape cultivation. Above-average temperatures have affected yields, while heavy rainfall forecast for late 2026 could further disrupt harvesting and shipments.
According to Peru's national weather agency, SENAMHI, sea-surface temperatures have remained +3°C to +7°C above normal. Higher temperatures have accelerated grape maturation by one to four weeks in Piura, prompting growers to bring harvesting forward to preserve fruit firmness and reduce exposure to rainfall and flooding.
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Peru's table grape cultivation is concentrated in Ica, accounting for 50 per cent of export-oriented output, followed by Piura at 33 per cent, Lambayeque at 7 per cent, La Libertad at 5 ...